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China steps up emergency response as Typhoon Dolphin approaches coast_我的网站
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A 120-hour forecast track probability map for Typhoon Dolphin from 5 pm on August 7 to 5 pm on August 12. Photo: National Meteorological CenterMultiple national departments and local authorities have activated emergency response measures as Typhoon Dolphin, the 13th typhoon of 2026, approaches China's eastern coast, in an effort to safeguard people's lives and property.
China's National Meteorological Center (NMC) continued to issue a yellow alert for Typhoon Dolphin at 6 pm on Friday. As of 5 pm, the center of the typhoon was about 730 kilometers east of Wenzhou of East China's Zhejiang Province. It was packing maximum sustained winds of 48 meters per second (Level 15) near its center, with a minimum central pressure of 940 hectopascals. According to the NMC's tropical cyclone classification, Dolphin is classified as a severe typhoon.
Dolphin is expected to move westward at a speed of about 15 kilometers per hour while continuing to intensify. It is forecast to enter the East China Sea on Friday night and make landfall along the coast from Zhejiang Province to northern Fujian Province between Sunday afternoon and Monday morning. After landfall, it is expected to move west-northwestward and gradually weaken, according to the NMC's forecast.
At 6 pm on Friday night, China's Ministry of Water Resources launched a Level IV emergency flood response for Shanghai and the provinces of Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Anhui, Fujian and Jiangxi. The Ministry of Natural Resources activated a Level III marine disaster emergency response for Zhejiang, a level IV response for Shanghai, Jiangsu, and Fujian, and convened a meeting on Friday to coordinate marine and geological disaster prevention and response efforts for Typhoon Dolphin, making comprehensive arrangements for disaster preparedness, the Xinhua News Agency reported on Friday, citing the two ministries.
Coastal provinces have been stepping up preparations as Typhoon Dolphin approaches. According to Xinhua, authorities in Zhejiang Province upgraded emergency responses for Typhoon Dolphin from Level IV to Level III at noon on Friday. Fujian Province also upgraded its emergency response to Level III, according to provincial authorities.
Typhoon Dolphin is expected to bring strong winds and heavy rainfall to parts of eastern China. According to Xinhua, from Friday to Tuesday, Zhejiang, Fujian, Jiangxi, Jiangsu, Shanghai and Anhui are forecast to receive heavy to torrential rain, raising the risk of flooding in major river basins and smaller rivers. Fujian authorities have also suspended some ferry and passenger transport services and closed tourist attractions in parts of the province as a precaution.
Xu Yinglong, chief forecaster at the NMC, said Typhoon Dolphin is currently being influenced by a combination of the subtropical high, the westerly trough-ridge system and multiple tropical systems, leaving some uncertainty over its track after landfall. Tropical disturbances over the Beibu Gulf and the western Pacific could also affect Dolphin's development and path, according to the official WeChat account of the China Meteorological Administration.
As Dolphin approaches China's eastern coast, impacts from wind and rain are expected to intensify. Xu said the typhoon could bring stronger localized winds than Typhoon Bavi, the ninth typhoon of this year, while producing heavier and more widespread rainfall, with some areas likely to experience extreme precipitation.
From Friday to Saturday afternoon, waves of 7 to 13 meters are forecast in the East China Sea, while waves of 4 to 6.5 meters are expected in the coastal waters off Zhejiang. The coastal waters off Shanghai and northern Fujian are forecast to see waves of 3 to 4.5 meters. Meanwhile, storm surges of 50 to 120 centimeters are expected along the coast from the Yangtze River estuary to Fuzhou in Fujian Province from Friday afternoon to Saturday afternoon, the Global Times learned from the National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center.
Global Times
。 【环球网报道 记者 陈全 实习生 邱梓凡】据英国《卫报》近日报道，随着人工智能加速发展，如何避免所在职业被人工智能取代成为初入职场年轻人面临的现实问题。
二 | 多位来自医疗、教育、法律、酒店、建筑和金融等行业的专家在接受采访时表述，AI可能会在短时间内改变部分岗位的工作方式，但无法完全取代人类从事这些工作。对此，专家建议称，选择涉及专业判断、人际互动、照护服务、创意表达和动手实践等方面的职业，可有效降低被AI取代的风险，从而拓宽未来职业发展空间。
图片来源：视觉中国
专家指出，受AI影响较大、且容易被其取代的职业往往具有工作内容高度标准化、过于依赖表格记录与文档处理功能等共同特征。在医疗行业中，医疗秘书、药房支持、处方处理和呼叫处理团队等符合以上特征的岗位可能会最先被AI所取代；而涉及到对患者安全和治疗方案负责的岗位，如医生、护士、药剂师和其他有处方权的临床人员则很难被AI替代。
三 | 英国奥什克药房（Oushk Pharmacy）联合创始人、主管药剂师希拉·马利克（Hira Malik）表示，AI可以帮助医师整理信息并提示可能潜在的风险，但它不能代替医师决定某种治疗是否安全或适合每一名患者。整形与重建外科医生里亚兹·阿加（Riaz Agha）同样认为，一些高度个性化的医疗服务同样难以完全被AI取代。
四 | 他同时建议称，未来从业医师应学会正确使用AI并充分理解其优势和局限，以适应AI对这一行业带来的变化。
银行和金融业部分岗位也同样面临这一问题。彭博行业研究（Bloomberg Intelligence）高级银行业分析师托马什·诺策尔（Tomasz Noetzel）表示，与医疗行业类似，银行与金融企业中呼叫中心、客户服务、中台运营、零售网点和IT支持等涉及大量重复性任务的岗位容易受到AI影响并逐渐被其取代；而数据科学家、AI工程师、软件开发人员等技术和数据相关岗位则受到的影响较小。诺策尔认为，几乎没有银行岗位会不受AI影响，但高度依赖专业判断的岗位，如研究分析师、合规和监控分析师、风险建模专家、内部审计师等会相对更具有韧性，也更容易为从业者提供未来发展空间。
除上述两个行业外，教育和早教领域同样被认为具有较强“人类属性”从而无法被AI完全替代。专家表示，在教育领域，AI同样可能会涉足行政和常规教学辅助工作，但很难取代教师与学生之间的信任关系。“从职业选择角度来看，成为教师是一个很好的选择。学生总是需要值得信任的成年人际关系来帮助他们学习。”牛津大学代际成功实验室（Generational Success Lab）创始人沙拉斯·吉万（Sharath Jeevan）认为。此外，儿童照护领域也被视为AI较难接管的领域。儿童照护机构蒂尼（Tiney）创始人布雷特·威格多茨（Brett Wigdortz）表示，虽然AI可以支持沟通和组织工作，但家长“更希望由一个真人来照顾他们的孩子”，而非冰冷的电脑程序。随着未来托育需求持续存在，儿童看护、托儿所管理、高端保姆和家教等岗位仍拥有强劲的市场需求和较好的收入潜力，为人们提供保持高需求、高灵活的就业机遇。
专家还指出，AI同样也会法律业初级岗位产生复杂影响。随着AI降低法律服务成本，律师助理和初级律师等承担了文件审查、起草初稿、整理资料和填写表格任务的岗位在一定程度上会受到AI冲击，但着也将为这些岗位从业者带来另一种机遇。来自英国线上法律服务公司法律蜂巢（Lawhive）的皮埃尔·普罗纳（Pierre Proner）分析，初级法律岗位在人工智能时代并不会消失，只是其工作内容可能会产生一定变化。初级律师可能不用再将时间花在重复性的法律和行政工作上，而是能更早接触法律判断、客户沟通以及对AI生成结果的监督任务。英格兰及威尔士律师协会副会长布雷特·迪克森（Brett Dixon）评价称，这一改变将会为初级律师创造更多的时间和机会，从而使其获得深入思考复杂法律问题的能力。不过，普罗纳也提醒称，法律行业未来面临的挑战之一，是当传统初级任务被AI接管后，法律机构如何重新设计从初级律师到高级律师的成长路径。
五 | 他认为当下对于法律毕业生而言，熟练掌握AI应用可能会和过去会用Word和Excel等办公软件一样重要。
酒店业专家也强调称，AI无法取代酒店高质量服务中的人际连接。葡萄牙诺瓦商学院威斯蒙特旅游与酒店研究所（The Westmont Institute of Tourism and Hospitality at Nova School of Business and Economics）学术主任格雷厄姆·米勒教授（Prof.Graham Miller）表示，AI可以通过处理邮件回复等后台任务的方式，让员工把更多精力放在与客人面对面沟通中，从而为客人提供真正温暖、周到、有人情味的服务。他还强调称，酒店内一些具有创意性的岗位，如主厨等受到AI影响较小，而重复性较强的餐饮操作，例如翻汉堡、制作披萨等，未来可能更容易被自动化取代。换言之，AI可能不会淘汰所有服务岗位，但会提高对从业者“真正创造力”和“真实体验感”的要求。最后，对于土木及建筑行业而言，砌砖、木工和抹灰等动手型岗位因其技能壁垒从而免受AI冲击，并将继续为社会提供长期职业机会；而相比之下，土木行业中规划、估算等白领和行政岗位，则可能更早被AI替代。
六 | 英国建筑大师联合会（Federation of Master Builders）首席执行官布莱恩·贝里（Brian Berry）呼吁，随着熟练技工岗位在AI时代展现出愈发强力的韧性，当今社会对技工职业的认知应有所改变。“调查显示，目前只有47%的父母会建议孩子从事建筑行业。而随着建筑行业在AI时代提供了一条有回报、面向未来的职业路径，我们也希望将有更多人考虑从事这一方面的职业。”贝里表示。
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